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2024-12-14 00:37:14

CITIC Securities: As the Spring Festival approaches, consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. CITIC Securities Research Report said that the Politburo meeting held on December 9, 2024 once again made it clear that expanding domestic demand is the key policy direction for the coming year, "expanding domestic demand in all directions" and "vigorously boosting consumption", expressing positive and igniting market expectations. After experiencing a rapid rebound in September, the consumer sector generally pulled back in October-November because the short-term consumption data has not yet reflected the effectiveness of the policy and the policy strength in the coming year is unclear. We believe that as the Spring Festival approaches, the top-down emphasis on domestic demand and policy expectations are heating up, and consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. On the policy side, in addition to the "trade-in policy", we believe that there is still a package of consumption promotion toolboxes available, such as subsidies for first-time car buyers, maternity subsidies, and the issuance of state-subsidized catering and tourism coupons. We suggest that the consumption allocation should be progressive from both offensive and defensive to flexible varieties, with both offensive and defensive features: consumer Internet, dairy products with low valuation and high return, mass catering, etc., and flexibility: catering supply chain, alcohol, human resources services, hotels, etc., with obvious pro-cyclical characteristics, considering the consumption allocation demand driven by expectations first.Spot gold hit $2,700 per ounce, a two-week high, rising by 0.24% in the day.Galaxy Securities: Float glass continued to support the market at the end of the year, and the china galaxy Securities Research Institute said that it was urgent to support the demand for float glass terminals in November, but the middle and lower reaches mainly digested the previous inventory, and the purchasing enthusiasm declined. In the context of the contradiction between supply and demand in the industry, the production capacity has been significantly reduced, and the inventory pressure of float glass enterprises has improved. Enterprises have a strong willingness to push up, and the price of float glass rose slightly in November. The follow-up rush demand will continue to support the market demand, but due to the high inventory of some large manufacturers, it is expected that it will be difficult to form strong support for the price, and the follow-up price will remain stable.


In early trading, most of the main contracts of domestic futures fell. Palm oil fell more than 2%, alumina, Shanghai nickel, coking coal, glass, iron ore, soda ash and lithium carbonate fell more than 1%, and No.20 glue, methanol and stainless steel (SS) fell nearly 1%. In terms of increase, the Shanghai-Tianjin and Container Lines Europe rose by over 1%, while vegetable oil and fuel oil rose by nearly 1%.YTO Express invested 30 million yuan in Hengyang City to set up a new company. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Hengyang YTO Express Co., Ltd. was established, with the legal representative of Sun Kai and the registered capital of 30 million yuan. Its business scope includes: general cargo warehousing services; Domestic freight forwarder; Storage equipment rental service. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is indirectly wholly-owned by YTO Express.Foton Motor said on the interactive platform that the company is cooperating with many parties to study the application of solid-state batteries in vehicles.


Shandong mining machine opened at a daily limit, and yesterday it staged the "Earth-Sky Board".The aquaculture sector oscillated to raise Huaying Agriculture's daily limit, the aquaculture sector oscillated to raise, Huaying Agriculture's daily limit, Tianyu Bio and Chuangye International's previous daily limit, and Zhongshui Fishery, Minhe Shares and Xiaoming Shares followed suit.China's one-year interest rate swap hit a four-year low, and China's one-year interest rate swap (IRS) fell sharply this week, falling below the 1.50% mark for the first time since 2020. The data shows that the one-year interest rate swap was still around 1.50% at the beginning of Wednesday, and once fell to 1.4825% in the previous session, setting a new low since May 2020.

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